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J.D. Power and LMC Automotive report predicts average new vehicle transaction prices will hit a record $46,259 in August.
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The seasonally adjusted, annualized rate of sales fell to 12.81 million in May, according to Motor Intelligence.
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Combined sales at the seven major automakers that release monthly results dropped 17% in October. Automakers cite the semiconductor chip shortage and supply chain bottlenecks as the reason.
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September new light-vehicle sales fell for the 5th consecutive month to a SAAR of 1.2 million units, reported the National Automobile Dealers Association (NADA).
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All but a few Asian and highline factories reported double-digit gains in U.S. sales last month, priming the industry for a big December and a fifth straight 17 million-unit year.
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Once treated as classified information, factory parts data is now shared freely. Opportunistic franchised dealers are seizing the opportunity by selling unneeded inventory to independent repair shops.
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Despite the expected volume decline, the firm put September’s seasonally adjusted annual sales rate at a healthy 17.1 million, down from last September’s 18.1 million SAAR. The company said higher interest rates and talks of tariffs may be having some pull-ahead impact in the market.
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June’s annual percentage rate of 5.82% marked a 17% increase since January 2018. Add rising rates to a virtually saturated U.S. market, record-high vehicle prices, and historically high numbers of people who owe more than their cars are worth, and the stage is set for a market contraction, the firm said.
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May new-vehicle sales grew by 4.8% from the year-ago period, while average incentive spending per unit grew 6.6% from a year ago to $3,740.
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Average incentive spending in February is poised to fall for the first time since 2013 due to lower spending by Domestic manufacturers on trucks and SUVs. The two firms also project a 400,000-unit decrease in the SAAR and a 3% decline in retail sales.
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