MenuMENU
SearchSEARCH

Under-Water Auto Loans on the Rise

Percentage in negative equity grows, and average amount owed reaches a record in Q4.

January 16, 2025
Under-Water Auto Loans on the Rise

Both the monthly and overall financial impacts of upside-down trade-ins for those consumers hit records in the fourth quarter.

Credit:

Pexels/Mikhail Nilov

2 min to read


A growing number of U.S. consumers are under water on their auto loans and owed a record amount in the fourth quarter.

A quarter of traded-in vehicles with outstanding loans had negative equity in the quarter, up about a percentage point quarter-over-quarter and by five points year-over-year, according to Edmunds.

What’s more, the amounts owed on the upside-down loans are now higher than ever. The average hit a record $6,838, up 6% quarter-over-quarter and 13% year-over-year.

Among the upper reaches of upside-down loan amounts, borrowers owing more than $10,000 on trade-ins for new vehicles grew to a quarter of such consumers, Edmunds said, up three percentage points quarter-over-quarter. Meanwhile, 9% owed more than $15,000, up one percentage point.

The trend would seem to establish a dangerous pattern for a significant share of auto consumers, the California-based auto inventory and information provider said.

“… it wasn't too long ago when more than a third of trade-ins toward new-car purchases were upside down," said Edmunds Head of Insights Jessica Caldwell. "What's particularly alarming in the Q4 figures is that a growing share of trade-ins are hitting the double-digit mark in thousands of dollars owed, making the cycle far more challenging for consumers to escape."

Both the monthly and overall financial impacts of upside-down trade-ins for those consumers hit records as they assumed $159 more in monthly payment obligations and financed $12,388 more than the industry average for financed new vehicles.

"The ramifications for trading in a vehicle well below sea level for a brand-new vehicle can be drastic and lead to a cycle of poor auto financing decisions," said Edmunds Director of Insights Ivan Drury.

LEARN MORE: Delinquent Auto Loan Growth Down

More Auto Finance

A hand holding small burlap money bags next to a toy red car, symbolizing auto financing, loan payments, and dealership profitability.
Auto Financeby StaffNovember 14, 2025

Report Uncovers $4.7B Opportunity for Auto Dealers

Solving mismatched payment quotes can boost sales, profits

Read More →
Industryby Hannah MitchellNovember 10, 2025

Auto Loans More in Reach

October easier to tap despite approval rates falling

Read More →
Industryby Hannah MitchellNovember 3, 2025

Q3 Auto Loans Reveal Stress

Data reflect growing finance activity on the extreme ends of credit risk scale

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Industryby Hannah MitchellOctober 15, 2025

Debt-Strapped Auto Consumers on the Rise

The amounts owed on under-water trade-ins reach new highs.

Read More →
F&Iby Hannah MitchellOctober 10, 2025

Helping the Credit-Crunched

Though many auto consumers are finding it challenging to trade, dealers can leverage conditions to help them get over the hump.

Read More →
IndustryJuly 31, 2025

Auto Borrower Divide Deepens

Recent patterns show good credit helps navigate high interest rates as highly leveraged consumers sink further.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Industryby Hannah MitchellJuly 10, 2025

Auto Credit Easier to Get

June upticks still came with risky exposures.

Read More →
Industryby StaffJune 12, 2025

Auto Loans a Little Easier to Get

Slight May improvement came with risks to borrowers, lenders.

Read More →
F&Iby StaffJune 5, 2025

Auto Loan Delinquencies Fell in Q1

Experian report shows other shifts, including banks clawing back market share.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Auto Financeby StaffMay 13, 2025

Auto Credit Picture Muddled

Overall April conditions didn’t benefit the consumer, especially those presenting more risk.

Read More →